Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 3.057713e-01 4.110518e-01 0.533610 0.684572 0.863261 1.065859 1.310713
2025-12-07 1.747588e-01 3.006732e-01 0.470939 0.707460 1.017010 1.398354 1.893287
2025-12-14 9.593884e-02 2.184378e-01 0.412264 0.713651 1.143623 1.709675 2.484962
2025-12-21 4.799861e-02 1.536866e-01 0.352674 0.698567 1.232375 1.976305 3.041162
2025-12-28 2.468272e-02 1.156040e-01 0.319220 0.710183 1.354182 2.292871 3.682261
2026-01-04 1.127140e-02 8.526356e-02 0.285870 0.710850 1.454396 2.582135 4.300076
2026-01-11 3.789586e-03 5.830240e-02 0.245136 0.685803 1.505809 2.798969 4.823737
2026-01-18 9.147645e-04 3.990973e-02 0.213200 0.667404 1.561920 3.022107 5.363186
2026-01-25 1.428842e-04 2.909365e-02 0.194811 0.671229 1.654503 3.304442 5.999196
2026-02-01 2.041712e-07 1.846795e-02 0.167010 0.645155 1.686809 3.489395 6.493812
2026-02-08 NaN 1.464969e-02 0.162655 0.674199 1.825253 3.853227 7.272845
2026-02-15 NaN 1.011168e-02 0.149183 0.675666 1.908306 4.127307 7.920943
2026-02-22 NaN 8.789101e-03 0.153187 0.727629 2.100914 4.600743 8.904657
2026-03-01 NaN 6.817003e-03 0.150172 0.758942 2.253701 5.013105 9.805944
2026-03-08 NaN 4.637845e-03 0.140959 0.769295 2.362885 5.354341 10.604486
2026-03-15 NaN 2.582774e-03 0.125580 0.755338 2.417483 5.601120 11.258082
2026-03-22 NaN 1.636138e-03 0.118989 0.768618 2.532725 5.959675 12.101369
2026-03-29 NaN 8.793036e-04 0.109854 0.769842 2.619870 6.269731 12.872033
2026-04-05 NaN 2.951219e-04 0.094946 0.743603 2.639848 6.456625 13.443646
2026-04-12 NaN 6.953524e-05 0.083091 0.724254 2.673194 6.668164 14.060093
2026-04-19 NaN 1.424638e-05 0.077220 0.728372 2.763773 6.989771 14.867682
2026-04-26 NaN 3.347130e-09 0.065695 0.700782 2.771444 7.152982 15.410601
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.065871 0.731568 2.931441 7.614252 16.469823